Can AI help identify need, understand people's circumstances and places, map services and target resources?
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Social Drivers of Mental Health: A U.S. Study Using Machine Learning
Machine learning analysis of 38,379 US census tracts identifying which behavioural, environmental and social drivers best explain neighbourhood-level depression and poor mental health. An example of AI used to study collective exposure rather than individual pathology.
Du, S., Yao, J., Shen, G. C., Lin, B., Udo, T., Hastings, J., Wang, F., Wang, F., Zhang, Z., Ye, X., & Zhang, K. (2023). Social Drivers of Mental Health: A U.S. Study Using Machine Learning. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 65(5), 827-834. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2023.05.022
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Is demography destiny? Machine learning and population health outcomes
Uses demographic data to estimate six population-health outcomes or risk factors across US states, with separate training and validation states. Supports comparing observed outcomes with demographic expectations.
Luo, W., et al. (2015). Is Demography Destiny? Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Accurately Predict Population Health Outcomes from a Minimal Demographic Dataset. PLOS ONE, 10(5), e0125602. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0125602
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Guidance and standardsPeer reviewed
Machine learning in population and public health: development and implementation guidelines
Guidance informed by literature reviews and a modified Delphi process with 17 experts. Supports community participation, representative data, subgroup comparison, testing and practical implementation.
Pinto, A. D., et al. (2025). Machine Learning Applications in Population and Public Health: Guidelines for Development, Testing, and Implementation. JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, 11, e68952. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12551935/
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Tool or datasetNot reviewed
WorldPop Global2: high-resolution population estimates for 2015-2030
Population mapping infrastructure combining machine-learning spatial disaggregation with demographic estimation and projection, including age and sex. A potential foundation for catchment analysis, access mapping and changing service needs.
Tatem, A. (2025, September 3). WorldPop 'Global2': Global high-resolution population estimates for 2015-2030. WorldPop. https://www.worldpop.org/blog/worldpop-global2-global-high-resolution-population-estimates-for-2015-2030/
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Evidence reviewNot reviewed
Approaches to projecting future healthcare demand
Reviews macro, cell-based, microsimulation and machine-learning approaches to future demand, including population growth, ageing, fertility, mortality and migration. Helps planners select methods suited to their question and data.
Matias, M. A., Santos, R., Kasteridis, P., Grasic, K., Mason, A., & Rice, N. (2022). Approaches to Projecting Future Healthcare Demand. CHE Research Paper 186. University of York. https://www.york.ac.uk/media/che/documents/papers/researchpapers/CHERP186_projecting_healthcare_demand.pdf
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ResearchPreprint, not yet reviewed
Predictive and prescriptive modelling for long-term mental-health workforce planning
Combines statistical and machine-learning demand forecasts with stock-and-flow modelling and regional nursing-workforce scenarios. Directly relevant to anticipating mental-health staffing requirements.
Hewage, H. C., & Rostami-Tabar, B. (2024, revised 2025). A hybrid predictive and prescriptive modelling framework for long-term mental healthcare workforce planning. arXiv:2406.17463. https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17463
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Machine-learning forecasts of mental-health bed occupancy
Uses 866 weekly observations from 2008-2024 to compare forecasting methods for mental-health bed occupancy. Illustrates a concrete operational use for anticipating capacity pressures.
Avinash. (2025). Time series forecasting of bed occupancy in mental health facilities in India using machine learning. Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-025-86418-9. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-86418-9
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Reducing mental-health emergency visits through participatory population modelling
Australian Capital Territory study involving 33 stakeholders and population-level scenarios for 2023-2032. Examines combinations of service capacity, community crisis care and coordination under changing population needs.
Vacher, C., et al. (2024). Reducing mental health emergency visits: population-level strategies from participatory modelling. BMC Psychiatry. doi:10.1186/s12888-024-06066-7. https://bmcpsychiatry.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12888-024-06066-7
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Policy and regulationNot reviewed
CDC AI Strategy FY 2026 to 2030 and guidance for public health agencies (March 2026)
CDC's first AI strategy, published 12 March 2026 with a new AI website. Four pillars: accelerated adoption, governance and public trust, AI across CDC data platforms, and an AI-ready workforce. Companion guides for state, tribal, local and territorial agencies cover generative AI (CDC estimates upwards of 41,000 staff hours saved a year and 103 AI use cases) and agentic deep research tools, with human review and expert validation required throughout. Useful as a model of what an agency-level AI strategy looks like; mental health is not mentioned.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2026, March 12). CDC's AI strategy (FY 2026 - FY 2030). Office of Public Health Data, Surveillance, and Technology. https://www.cdc.gov/ai/strategy/index.html
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Natural Language Processing and Social Determinants of Health in Mental Health Research: AI-Assisted Scoping Review
AI-assisted scoping review of 1,768 NLP studies in mental health research, asking how often demographic and social determinants of health data are actually used or reported. Finds clinical notes and social media dominate, with social determinants often missing, which limits what these methods can say about populations.
Scherbakov, D. A., Hubig, N. C., Lenert, L. A., Alekseyenko, A. V., & Obeid, J. S. (2025). Natural Language Processing and Social Determinants of Health in Mental Health Research: AI-Assisted Scoping Review. JMIR Mental Health, 12, e67192. https://doi.org/10.2196/67192
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Promises and Pitfalls of Internet Search Data in Mental Health: Critical Review
Critical review of individual- and population-level internet search data for mental health research: associations with depression, anxiety, suicide and seasonal patterns, and the limits of these signals. Balanced on both promise and pitfalls.
Loch, A. A., & Kotov, R. (2025). Promises and Pitfalls of Internet Search Data in Mental Health: Critical Review. JMIR Mental Health, 12, e60754. https://doi.org/10.2196/60754
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Utilizing Big Data From Google Trends to Map Population Depression in the United States: Exploratory Infodemiology Study
Exploratory infodemiology study using Google Trends to map population depression across US states, proposed as a low-cost complement to survey epidemiology for service planning.
Wang, A., McCarron, R., Azzam, D., Stehli, A., Xiong, G., & DeMartini, J. (2022). Utilizing Big Data From Google Trends to Map Population Depression in the United States: Exploratory Infodemiology Study. JMIR Mental Health, 9(3), e35253. https://doi.org/10.2196/35253
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Methodologies for Monitoring Mental Health on Twitter: Systematic Review
Systematic review of 164 papers using Twitter data and machine learning to predict mental health outcomes. Finds only 16 of 119 datasets had externally validated ground truth, a sobering check on the population surveillance claims often made for social media AI.
Di Cara, N. H., Maggio, V., Davis, O. S. P., & Haworth, C. M. A. (2023). Methodologies for Monitoring Mental Health on Twitter: Systematic Review. Journal of Medical Internet Research, 25, e42734. https://doi.org/10.2196/42734
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Mental Health Risk Detection From Social Media Text Data: A Scoping Review of the Machine Learning Research Landscape
Scoping review mapping the recent machine learning landscape for mental health risk detection from social media text: target outcomes, data sources, labelling and evaluation practices. Useful for understanding how varied and unstandardised this field remains.
He, Y., He, Y., & Liu, D. (2026). Mental Health Risk Detection From Social Media Text Data: A Scoping Review of the Machine Learning Research Landscape. PsyCh Journal, 15(3), e70100. https://doi.org/10.1002/pchj.70100
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Practice signalNot reviewed
UNICEF: Children are adopting AI technologies more than three times faster than adults (2026)
UNICEF analysis of household survey data from ten countries estimating that at least 20 million children have used AI, about 2 million of them for advice about things that worry them. Frames children's AI use as a global experiment with unknown effects on development and emotional wellbeing and calls for protections, research and child-centred design.
UNICEF. (2026, June 30). Children are adopting AI technologies more than three times faster than adults [Press release]. https://www.unicef.org/eca/press-releases/children-are-adopting-ai-technologies-more-three-times-faster-adults
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Guidance and standardsNot reviewed
PAHO and IDB: Artificial Intelligence in Public Health, Readiness Assessment Toolkit (2024)
Toolkit for health ministries to assess and build preparedness for integrating AI into public health functions, produced by the Pan American Health Organization with the Inter-American Development Bank. Not mental health specific, but the closest real document to a regional public health AI guideline for the Americas.
Pan American Health Organization, & Inter-American Development Bank. (2024). Artificial intelligence in public health: Readiness assessment toolkit (Version 2.0). PAHO. https://www.paho.org/sites/default/files/2024-08/ai-ra-tool-rev-final-eng-aug-1_0.pdf
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Opinion and commentaryPeer reviewed
Artificial intelligence in public health: promises, challenges, and an agenda for policy makers and public health institutions
Lancet Public Health viewpoint from Dimitra Panteli, Martin McKee and colleagues at the European Observatory and WHO Europe. Sets out where AI can help public health (surveillance, risk-factor monitoring, environmental health, resource allocation, tailored communication, misinformation detection, routine automation) and what stands in the way: equity, bias, explainability, privacy, cybersecurity, human oversight, infrastructure, workforce skills and governance. Notes that in a 2023 WHO Europe survey only a third of countries had a policy on big data and advanced analytics. The most cited agenda-setting piece on the topic.
Panteli, D., Adib, K., Buttigieg, S., Goiana-da-Silva, F., Ladewig, K., Azzopardi-Muscat, N., Figueras, J., Novillo-Ortiz, D., & McKee, M. (2025). Artificial intelligence in public health: promises, challenges, and an agenda for policy makers and public health institutions. The Lancet Public Health, 10(5), e428-e432. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(25)00036-2
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Opportunities and challenges of artificial intelligence in public health: a systematic review on technological efficacy, ethical dilemmas, and governance pathways
PRISMA systematic review of 136 studies (2019 to January 2025) across English and Chinese databases. Finds AI improving epidemic surveillance, emergency response, health communication, decision support and drug and vaccine development, against risks of algorithmic bias, privacy, widening inequities and loss of public trust. About 70 percent of the evidence comes from high-income countries. Recommends explainable AI, strong data governance and participatory, adaptive oversight.
Gao, Q., Chen, L., & Huang, Z. (2026). Opportunities and challenges of artificial intelligence in public health: a systematic review on technological efficacy, ethical dilemmas, and governance pathways. Frontiers in Public Health, 13, 1748797. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1748797
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Impact, use, and implications of artificial intelligence in public health decision making by elected officials: a scoping review
Scoping review asking how AI has actually supported public health decisions by officials and elected representatives. From 13,239 records only 7 studies qualified, all about COVID-19 (vaccination decision support, contact tracing, quarantine and movement restrictions), and all descriptive with no outcome evaluation. A sober reminder of how thin the evidence for AI in real public health governance still is.
Campbell, E. A., Goodtree, H., Gillani, S., Oyefolu, O., Kelly, A., Rivers, C., & Watson, C. (2026). Impact, use, and implications of artificial intelligence in public health decision making by elected officials: a scoping review. Frontiers in Public Health, 14, 1745684. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1745684
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
Why We Need More Investment in AI for Prevention and Public Health (Community Impact Policy Institute, June 2026)
White paper by Jay Varma, former New York City public health lead, arguing that AI for prevention (surveillance, outbreak response, chronic disease prevention, vaccination campaigns, environmental monitoring, communications) is the largest under-funded health opportunity of a generation. Advocacy rather than evidence, but a clear statement of the case for using AI upstream of the clinic.
Varma, J. K. (2026, June 15). Why we need more investment in AI for prevention and public health: The largest health opportunity in a generation is under-funded [White paper]. Community Impact Policy Institute, Fedcap. https://fedcapgroup.org/news/new-report-presents-a-strategic-framework-for-the-future-of-ai-in-prevention-and-public-health
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ResearchPreprint, not yet reviewed
Conversational, Longitudinal, Ecological Assessment (CLEA): Exploring a new AI-driven method for qualitative data collection in a behavioural health context
Preprint introducing CLEA, an AI-driven conversational method for longitudinal qualitative data collection in behavioural health.
Downes, S., Krys, T., O’Hara, K., Western, M., Thompson, L., & Brigden, A. (2026). Conversational, Longitudinal, Ecological Assessment (CLEA): Exploring a new AI-driven method for qualitative data collection in a behavioural health context. . https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.20.26344494
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Innovation of Wearable Devices for Public Health Monitoring
Describes decentralisation of health monitoring from institutions to individuals and communities via IoT, AI and sensors.
Aini, I. N. (2026). Innovation of Wearable Devices for Public Health Monitoring. Journal of Public Health Indonesian, 2(5), 99-106. https://doi.org/10.62872/d9j65n53
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Collective Well-Being to Improve Population Health Outcomes: An Actionable Conceptual Model and Review of the Literature
Actionable conceptual model of collective wellbeing for improving population health outcomes, spanning built and social environment, access to services and social determinants.
Roy, B., Riley, C., Sears, L., & Rula, E. Y. (2018). Collective Well-Being to Improve Population Health Outcomes: An Actionable Conceptual Model and Review of the Literature. American Journal of Health Promotion, 32(8), 1800-1813. https://doi.org/10.1177/0890117118791993
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Advancing positive social determinants of health through collective impact and the 100% New Mexico Model
Describes the 100% New Mexico model: collective impact to assess access to ten service sectors, disaggregate disparities and build a shared agenda on social determinants.
McCrae, J. S., & Spain, A. K. (2023). Advancing positive social determinants of health through collective impact and the 100% New Mexico Model. Archives of Public Health, 81(1), 109. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-023-01120-4
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Opinion and commentaryPeer reviewed
Mental Health Priorities in the Arab World: Insights From Jordan
Policy column on mental-health needs and services in Jordan, identifying digital health technology, integrated care and youth-focused interventions as areas for investment. Relevant background for planning services in their social and regional context.
Ben-Zeev, D., Larsen, A., Beaulieu, A., Guler, J., & Bawaneh, A. (2024). Mental Health Priorities in the Arab World: Insights From Jordan. Psychiatric Services. https://doi.org/10.1176/appi.ps.20230365
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Opinion and commentaryPeer reviewed
Digital Twins for Public-Health Emergency Planning: A Conceptual Framework
Perspective proposing digital twins for prevention, preparedness, response and recovery, including simulation, early warning and resource allocation. A potential population-health planning approach, not an evaluated model of urban design's effects on stress or mental health.
Sun, T., Lu, J., Li, Q., & Kou, Y. (2025). Can digital twin technology revolutionize public health emergency management? Insights from the PPRR framework. Frontiers in Public Health, 13, 1631339. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1631339
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ResearchPreprint, not yet reviewed
Do VLMs See What Sensors Feel? A Scalable Expert-Guided Design for Wheelchair Accessibility Assessment from Street View
A technical preprint testing an expert-guided vision-language-model framework for assessing wheelchair accessibility from Google Street View. At 407 University of Florida locations, model ratings showed partial alignment with GPS-derived wheelchair dwell behaviour. The study suggests a possible way to screen environmental access barriers, while identifying limitations with subtle surfaces, temporary obstacles and viewpoints.
Wang, D., Hagen, A., Gatmaitan, I., Zhou, H., Dong, Y., Valipoor, S., Wong, V. W. H., & Li, L. (2026). Do VLMs See What Sensors Feel? A Scalable Expert-Guided Design for Wheelchair Accessibility Assessment from Street View. arXiv:2606.07642, version 1. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.07642
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Tool or datasetNot reviewed
Urban HEART: Urban Health Equity Assessment and Response Tool
WHO's urban health-equity assessment and response framework supports identifying, prioritising and tracking inequities in health and its social determinants. It provides a population-planning foundation for comparing places and directing action. It is not an AI tool or evidence that WHO used AI satellite analysis to identify mental-health deserts.
World Health Organization & WHO Centre for Health Development (Kobe, Japan). (2010). Urban HEART: Urban Health Equity Assessment and Response Tool. World Health Organization. ISBN 9789241500142. https://iris.who.int/items/9560b26b-5c44-483b-8f8c-ff7f79ccf61e
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ResearchNot reviewed
The role of virtual services and AI in mental health care across Canada
This Mental Health Commission of Canada report examines virtual services and AI in mental health care. It reports that about one in seven people in Canada used AI mental health tools and that, although 76% of users found them effective, only 14% trusted them; respondents emphasised human involvement, privacy protections and oversight.
Abbott, M., Kalenteridis, K., Thraya, Z., Cooper, M., Hlavacek, C., Yakhnis, I., & Martin, L. (2026). The role of virtual services and AI in mental health care across Canada. Mental Health Commission of Canada. https://mentalhealthcommission.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/The-Role-of-Virtual-Services-and-AI-in-Mental-Health-Care-Across-Canada-1.pdf
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Opinion and commentaryNot reviewed
Around 1 in 5 young people use AI chatbots for mental health advice, survey finds
This NBC News article reports on a RAND survey of young people aged 12 to 21. It says 19% had used AI chatbots for mental health advice and reports the study lead author's call for regulation.
Bendix, A., & Yang, A. (2026, June 1). Around 1 in 5 young people use AI chatbots for mental health advice, survey finds. NBC News. https://www.nbcnews.com/health/mental-health/ai-chatbots-mental-health-advice-young-people-rcna347758
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Exploring real-world use of AI chatbots for mental health support: Cross-sectional survey study
This Belgian survey examined 349 people who used AI chatbots for mental health support, including 73 students recruited specifically because they used AI for this purpose. Users often chose freely available chatbots such as ChatGPT for their accessibility and constant availability, while students also valued anonymity and people in the general-public group reported feeling supported.
Bernaerts, S., Buelens, F., De Witte, N. A. J., Balaskas, A., Colman, T., & Van Daele, T. (2026). Exploring real-world use of AI chatbots for mental health support: Cross-sectional survey study. JMIR Mental Health, 13, e104316. https://doi.org/10.2196/104316
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Opinion and commentaryNot reviewed
RAND: Definitions drive estimates of chatbot mental health use
This news article reports an analysis of publicly available ChatGPT conversations using an AI-based classifier. It says estimates of mental health use vary depending on how that use is defined.
Canady, V. A. (2026). RAND: Definitions drive estimates of chatbot mental health use. Mental Health Weekly, 36(34), 3–5. https://doi.org/10.1002/mhw.34992
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Artificial intelligence in mental healthcare: A review of health economics, sustainability, and global health perspectives
This narrative review examines AI in mental health, including digital interventions, prediction tools and telepsychiatry. It finds that AI may support earlier detection, tailored care and access to services, but warns of privacy risks, bias, limited transparency and the potential to worsen inequalities.
Chyczij, F., Paixão, M., & Sara, D. G. (2026). Artificial intelligence in mental healthcare: A review of health economics, sustainability, and global health perspectives. Global Health Economics and Sustainability, 4(3), 026260038. https://doi.org/10.36922/GHES026260038
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Guidance and standardsNot reviewed
Neighbourhood health framework
England's framework for neighbourhood care, including risk stratification and data for proactive care, with AI-assisted triage pilots planned. Shows population data and AI being written into place-based service design. No results reported.
Department of Health and Social Care & NHS England. (2026, March 17). Neighbourhood health framework. GOV.UK. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/neighbourhood-health-framework/neighbourhood-health-framework
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ResearchNot reviewed
Americans and AI 2026: Chatbots, smart devices and views on impact
This Pew Research Center report presents findings on Americans’ use of and views about AI. It reports that 10% of US adults use chatbots for emotional support or advice and 4% for companionship.
Gottfried, J., Bishop, W., Anderson, M., Faverio, M., Park, E., & McClain, C. (2026, June 17). Americans and AI 2026: Chatbots, smart devices and views on impact. Pew Research Center. https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2026/06/17/americans-and-ai-2026-chatbots-smart-devices-and-views-on-impact/
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
"Where do I start?": How governments can prioritise AI solutions for health
A framework for governments choosing AI investments in health. Covers clinician training through simulation, service planning from geographic and social data, and wearable-based advice. Useful for showing all three areas in one policy frame.
Why it matters now: The framework brings clinician training, geographic service planning and wearable-based advice into one government AI investment guide.
Harvard, J., McLauchlan, K., Milestone, D., & Ubaldi, B. (2026, April 27). "Where do I start?": How governments can prioritise AI solutions for health. Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. https://institute.global/insights/public-services/where-do-i-start-how-governments-can-prioritise-ai-solutions-for-health
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ResearchNot reviewed
Talking to machines: Children's experiences with AI assistants and companions
This eSafety Commissioner report describes children’s experiences with AI assistants and companions. Among children who had used one, 20% used it for mental-health or wellbeing advice and 20% reported potentially harmful or inappropriate interactions.
Herbert, L., Lister, C., Minihan, S., Najdovska, A., & Nicholas, M. (2026). Talking to machines: Children's experiences with AI assistants and companions. eSafety Commissioner. https://www.esafety.gov.au/research/talking-to-machines-childrens-experiences-with-ai-assistants-and-companions
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Methods for mapping population-level interventions in system dynamics modelling for context-sensitive policy planning in youth mental health
Describes how local evidence and stakeholder knowledge were combined with simulation scenarios for regional youth mental health planning. Scenario exploration shifted discussion towards combining interventions and collaboration. Shows place-based knowledge feeding the model, not the other way round.
Loblay, V., Ianelli, O., Hindmarsh, G., Song, Y. J. C., Huntley, S., Piper, S., Crosland, P., Hosseini, S. H., Ho, N., Nguyen, K.-H., Vacher, C., Hutcheon, A., Rosenberg, S., McNeill, A., Oakes, H., Occhipinti, J.-A., & Hickie, I. B. (2026). Methods for mapping population-level interventions in system dynamics modelling for context-sensitive policy planning in youth mental health. International Journal of Mental Health Systems. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13033-026-00723-y
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ResearchNot reviewed
Key findings from MHA's survey on AI and mental health
This webpage presents findings from Mental Health America’s survey on AI and mental health. It reports that 53% of respondents had used AI for emotional support and that 68% of those users rated the experience positively.
Mental Health America. (2026). Key findings from MHA's survey on AI and mental health. https://mhanational.org/key-findings-from-mhas-survey-on-ai-and-mental-health/
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Practice signalNot reviewed
Millions of people in Canada are finding AI-enabled support for mental health effective amid ongoing questions around trust
This Mental Health Commission of Canada news release reports that about six million people in Canada used AI-enabled mental health support in the past year. It says most users found the tools effective, while trust remains low and the Commission calls for safe, equitable, evidence-based guidance.
Why it matters now: The Commission reports widespread use and perceived effectiveness, while trust concerns make safe, equitable guidance timely.
Mental Health Commission of Canada. (2026, July 8). Millions of people in Canada are finding AI-enabled support for mental health effective amid ongoing questions around trust [News release]. https://mentalhealthcommission.ca/news-releases/millions-of-people-in-canada-are-finding-ai-enabled-support-for-mental-health-effective-amid-ongoing-questions-around-trust/
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Policy and regulationNot reviewed
Draft mental health and wellbeing strategy 2026–2036
This is a New Zealand Ministry of Health draft strategy for mental health and wellbeing from 2026 to 2036. It proposes increasing access to digital supports, including appropriate AI tools, and using emerging technologies responsibly.
Why it matters now: The draft strategy proposes expanding digital mental health support, including appropriate AI tools, while emphasising responsible use.
Ministry of Health. (2026). Draft mental health and wellbeing strategy 2026–2036. New Zealand Government. https://www.health.govt.nz/system/files/2026-04/Draft-Mental-Health-and-Wellbeing-Strategy-2026-2036.pdf
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ResearchPreprint, not yet reviewed
The promises and perils of using LLMs for effective public services
Worked with a Canadian child-welfare agency to test language models for tracking case progress and spotting service gaps. The models missed case trajectories that needed human judgement. Also in CHI 2026.
Why it matters now: A child-welfare agency case study found language models missed case trajectories needing human judgement.
Moon, E. S.-Y., Tamura, M., Zhai, A., Habib, N., Shirazi, B., Kassam, A., Saxena, D., & Guha, S. (2026). The promises and perils of using LLMs for effective public services [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2601.15163
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Policy and regulationNot reviewed
National report card 2025: Environmental scan
This Australian Government environmental scan accompanies the National Mental Health Commission’s 2025 report card. The scan cites research on digital inclusion and AI use, including evidence that some people seek social connection or are emotionally vulnerable when using AI chatbots.
Why it matters now: The environmental scan connects mental health system planning with evidence on digital inclusion and AI use.
National Mental Health Commission. (2026). National report card 2025: Environmental scan. Australian Government. https://www.mentalhealthcommission.gov.au/sites/default/files/2026-08/national-report-card-2025-environmental-scan_0.pdf
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Policy and regulationNot reviewed
Scaling artificial intelligence in health
This OECD policy report examines how countries can adopt AI in health responsibly and at scale. It reports that all OECD Member countries use AI in administration, but only 10% have scaled it nationally for medical imaging, and argues that better data, policy and governance are needed.
Why it matters now: The OECD report addresses responsible AI scale-up and identifies mental health as comparatively underserved by health AI innovation.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2026). Scaling artificial intelligence in health. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/a436e12d-en
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Policy and regulationNot reviewed
Proceeding report from Madrid conference on the responsible scale of AI in healthcare: Scaling fast while doing no harm
This OECD report records proceedings from a Madrid conference on responsible AI scale-up in healthcare. It notes that mental health remains comparatively underserved by health AI innovation and calls for closer alignment with health-system and population needs.
Why it matters now: The conference report argues that health AI should scale responsibly and better reflect health-system and population needs.
Sutherland, E., & Vujovic, K. (2026). Proceeding report from Madrid conference on the responsible scale of AI in healthcare: Scaling fast while doing no harm (OECD Artificial Intelligence Papers No. 66). OECD Publishing. https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2026/10/proceeding-report-from-madrid-conference-on-the-responsible-scale-of-ai-in-healthcare_cd7819f4/cf9439c3-en.pdf
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewedIndustry funded
AI for healthy cities: How artificial intelligence can support cardiometabolic disease prevention and enhance resilience
Examples of AI linking health records with social and environmental data to find neighbourhood-level risk, such as commute length and broadband access in New York. Not mental health, but the clearest worked examples of AI place-based scanning. Funded by the Novartis Foundation.
Why it matters now: It offers neighbourhood-level examples of AI linking health, social and environmental data, while noting industry funding.
Wilson, M., & Juani, A. (2026, January). AI for healthy cities: How artificial intelligence can support cardiometabolic disease prevention and enhance resilience. FP Analytics. https://fpanalytics.foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/16/artificial-intelligence-healthy-cities/
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
Governing in the age of AI: Reimagining local government
Uses examples such as Barking and Dagenham's One View, which linked council data to support 1,000 households in debt and identified 93.6% of people who needed to shield during COVID-19. Shows locality data being used to reach people early. Advocacy estimates, not evaluations.
Why it matters now: The report describes local-government AI examples for identifying residents who may need support, while noting the estimates are not evaluations.
Atkinson, I., Boroda, N., & Gottesman, R. (2025, May 7). Governing in the age of AI: Reimagining local government. Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. https://institute.global/insights/politics-and-governance/governing-in-the-age-of-ai-reimagining-local-government
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Evidence reviewPreprint, not yet reviewed
Artificial intelligence in rural healthcare delivery: Bridging gaps and enhancing equity through innovation
Reviews 109 studies on AI in rural health, finding promise for predictive analytics and telehealth to improve access. Relevant to rural and remote Australian planning, though not mental health specific.
Why it matters now: A preprint review of 109 rural-health AI studies considers access gains, though it is not mental-health specific.
Balakrishnan, K., Velusamy, D., Hinkle, H. E., Li, Z., Ramasamy, K., Khan, H., Ramaswamy, S., & Shah, P. M. (2025). Artificial intelligence in rural healthcare delivery: Bridging gaps and enhancing equity through innovation [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2508.11738
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
The use of geographic information systems (GIS) in studying mental health service delivery: A scoping review
Maps 58 studies using geographic tools to show where services are, who can reach them and where the gaps are; most examined access. The groundwork AI-based locality tools build on.
Biswal, B., Paimapari, R., Suresh, A., Pacheco, M. G., Fernandes, L., Gandhi, Y., Patel, V., Singla, D. R., Fernandes, A., Velleman, R., Lu, C., Grundy, C., Bhatia, U., & Nadkarni, A. (2025). The use of geographic information systems (GIS) in studying mental health service delivery: A scoping review. Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health, 12, Article e132. https://doi.org/10.1017/gmh.2025.10088
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Examining the impact of youth mental health services capacity growth trajectories and digital interventions on youth mental health outcomes: System dynamics modeling analysis
A Western Sydney model projected that digital interventions plus growth in specialist services could cut years lived with symptoms by 15% over ten years. Digital tools alone could not prevent decline if specialist services shrank. Simulation modelling, not generative AI.
Hosseini, S. H., Ho, N., Huntley, S., Piper, S., Crosland, P., Skinner, A., Vacher, C., Tran, K., Nguyen, K.-H., Song, Y. J. C., Loblay, V., Iannelli, O., Ferdousi, S., Munasinghe, S., Rao, S., Lam, D., Waterhouse-Bushnell, Z., Clancey, G., Hickie, I. B., & Occhipinti, J.-A. (2025). Examining the impact of youth mental health services capacity growth trajectories and digital interventions on youth mental health outcomes: System dynamics modeling analysis. Journal of Medical Internet Research, 27, Article e71256. https://doi.org/10.2196/71256
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Social determinants of health extraction from clinical notes across institutions using large language models
Tested social-circumstance extraction across four institutions, with high accuracy (F1 above 0.90 for the main factors). Performance still dropped when a model trained in one place was used in another, so local checking is needed.
Keloth, V. K., Selek, S., Chen, Q., Gilman, C., Fu, S., Dang, Y., Chen, X., Hu, X., Zhou, Y., He, H., Fan, J. W., Wang, K., Brandt, C., Tao, C., Liu, H., & Xu, H. (2025). Social determinants of health extraction from clinical notes across institutions using large language models. npj Digital Medicine, 8, Article 287. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-025-01645-8
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
Learn fast and build things: Lessons from six years of studying AI in the public sector
Lessons from public sector AI, including a London council's predictive tools for identifying at-risk residents. Staff accepted COVID-19 case management tools but were wary of risk alerts that lacked clear explanations. A caution for locality risk tools.
Why it matters now: It shows staff accepted case-management tools but questioned unexplained risk alerts, a live caution for locality risk systems.
Parker, I., Studman, A., & Jones, E. (2025, March 14). Learn fast and build things: Lessons from six years of studying AI in the public sector. Ada Lovelace Institute. https://www.adalovelaceinstitute.org/policy-briefing/public-sector-ai/
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
Health and AI: Advancing responsible and ethical AI for all communities
Argues AI and wearable data can inform personalised care only if planning accounts for local needs, resources and barriers. Warns that third-party data insights may lack cultural and local context.
Why it matters now: It highlights that wearable and third-party insights need local context as health AI planning expands.
Turner Lee, N., Simmons, M., & Crawford, M. (2025, March 3). Health and AI: Advancing responsible and ethical AI for all communities. Brookings Institution. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/health-and-ai-advancing-responsible-and-ethical-ai-for-all-communities/
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ResearchPreprint, not yet reviewed
Community needs and assets: A computational analysis of community conversations
A language model sorted community conversations into needs and assets with 94% F1, far above a general language model (61%). Points to AI-assisted asset mapping, not just deficit mapping. Data were Reddit posts only.
Chowdhury, M. T. A., Sharma, N., & KhudaBukhsh, A. R. (2024). Community needs and assets: A computational analysis of community conversations [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2403.13272
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Large language models to identify social determinants of health in electronic health records
Language models found social circumstances such as housing, transport and support in clinical notes. The best model identified 45 of 48 patients with an adverse social need, against 1 of 48 picked up by standard coding. Shows AI can surface a person's life circumstances that records usually miss.
Guevara, M., Chen, S., Thomas, S., Chaunzwa, T. L., Franco, I., Kann, B. H., Moningi, S., Qian, J. M., Goldstein, M., Harper, S., Aerts, H. J. W. L., Catalano, P. J., Savova, G. K., Mak, R. H., & Bitterman, D. S. (2024). Large language models to identify social determinants of health in electronic health records. npj Digital Medicine, 7, Article 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-023-00970-0
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Can computer simulation support strategic service planning? Modelling a large integrated mental health system on recovery from COVID-19
Simulated a whole mental health system in south-west England and projected GP and community services under pressure of up to 50% and 150% respectively, then tested capacity changes. Shows planners using simulation to test options before committing. Simulation modelling, not generative AI.
Pierotti, L., Cooper, J., James, C., Cassels, K., Gara, E., Denholm, R., & Wood, R. (2024). Can computer simulation support strategic service planning? Modelling a large integrated mental health system on recovery from COVID-19. International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 18, Article 12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13033-024-00623-z
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Improving access to mental health care: A system dynamics model of direct access to specialist care and accelerated specialist service capacity growth
A NSW model projected that faster specialist capacity growth plus direct access would avert 3.6% of mental health emergency presentations and 2.1% of suicide deaths over 2021 to 2028. Simulation modelling, not generative AI.
Vacher, C., Skinner, A., Occhipinti, J.-A., Rosenberg, S., Ho, N., Song, Y. J. C., & Hickie, I. B. (2023). Improving access to mental health care: A system dynamics model of direct access to specialist care and accelerated specialist service capacity growth. Medical Journal of Australia, 218(7), 309–314. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja2.51903
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia
Sets out how systems modelling can help Australian planners handle uncertain future demand and choose investments, including at regional level. A foundation piece for computational planning. This is simulation modelling, not generative AI.
Whiteford, H., Bagheri, N., Diminic, S., Enticott, J., Gao, C. X., Hamilton, M., Hickie, I. B., Le, L. K.-D., Lee, Y. Y., Long, K. M., McGorry, P., Meadows, G., Mihalopoulos, C., Occhipinti, J.-A., Rock, D., Rosenberg, S., Salvador-Carulla, L., & Skinner, A. (2023). Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 57(11), 1417–1427. https://doi.org/10.1177/00048674231172113
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Measuring perceived psychological stress in urban built environments using Google Street View and deep learning
Deep learning applied to 31,378 street view images mapped perceived stress across a Seoul district, with stress clustered in dense residential and commercial areas. An example of AI reading the environment people live in, though perceived stress is rated from images, not measured in residents.
Han, X., Wang, L., Seo, S. H., He, J., & Jung, T. (2022). Measuring perceived psychological stress in urban built environments using Google Street View and deep learning. Frontiers in Public Health, 10, Article 891736. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.891736
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ResearchPeer reviewed
A machine learning approach to small area estimation: Predicting the health, housing and well-being of the population of Netherlands
Machine learning estimated health, housing and wellbeing for every Dutch neighbourhood from survey and administrative data, more accurately and faster than the standard statistical model. A template for local wellbeing profiles where surveys are too thin.
Viljanen, M., Meijerink, L., Zwakhals, L., & van de Kassteele, J. (2022). A machine learning approach to small area estimation: Predicting the health, housing and well-being of the population of Netherlands. International Journal of Health Geographics, 21, Article 4. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12942-022-00304-5
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Practice signalNot reviewed
A local navigation tool for mental health care (MChart)
An ACT planning platform (2022 to 2025) combining service directories, workforce data, mapping, service use and community indicators so planners can see where services are and where gaps lie. A rare Australian locality planning tool for mental health.
Digital Health CRC. (n.d.). A local navigation tool for mental health care (MChart). Retrieved October 17, 2026, from https://digitalhealthcrc.com/projects/a-local-navigation-tool-for-mental-health-care-mchart/
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Opinion and commentaryNot reviewed
The future is now: Public health and artificial intelligence
A local government view of AI in public health: predicting homelessness risk, sensors supporting older residents at home, and wearables alerting services. Notes the field is still early. Commentary.
Fothergill, D. (n.d.). The future is now: Public health and artificial intelligence. Local Government Association. Retrieved October 17, 2026, from https://www.local.gov.uk/topics/social-care-health-and-integration/future-now-public-health-and-artificial-intelligence
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Guidance and standardsNot reviewed
Building an integrated care system intelligence function
Guidance on using linked population data and analytics to understand local need, identify inequalities and plan services. The system infrastructure AI planning tools sit on. Not mental health specific and gives no outcome evidence.
NHS England. (n.d.). Building an integrated care system intelligence function. Retrieved October 17, 2026, from https://www.england.nhs.uk/long-read/building-an-ics-intelligence-function/
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Analysis and advocacyNot reviewed
The reality of, and potential for, digitally enabled care in the community
Looks at digital tools for community care, including AI matching people's needs to technology and rostering that uses local demographics to plan staffing. A grounded view of what works in practice.
The King's Fund. (n.d.). The reality of, and potential for, digitally enabled care in the community. Retrieved October 17, 2026, from https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/long-reads/the-reality-of-and-potential-for-digitally-enabled-care-in-the-community
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ResearchPeer reviewed
AI Models for Suicide Risk Prediction in Adult Patients Receiving Mental Health Care Using Real-World Data: Retrospective Population-Based Study
This retrospective population-based study used real-world data to assess suicide risk prediction in 32,661 adults receiving mental health care, including 2,764 with suicidal behaviour. GradientBoosting and XGBoost performed best, with ROC-AUC scores around 0.95 and recall scores of 0.85 and 0.84; leading predictors included corticosteroid use, olanzapine, lorazepam, female sex and depression.
Peña-Gómez, C.; Fradera, M.; Sánchez Corrales, X. et al. (2026). AI Models for Suicide Risk Prediction in Adult Patients Receiving Mental Health Care Using Real-World Data: Retrospective Population-Based Study. JMIR AI. https://doi.org/10.2196/85085
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ResearchPeer reviewed
Integrating speech biomarkers and large language models for adolescent suicide risk detection with mobile application for real-world evaluation
The study combined speech biomarkers with a large language model to detect suicide risk in adolescents aged 10-18, using a development cohort of 1,223 and an independent mobile-app validation cohort of 460. On the self-introduction task, the model achieved 0.808 accuracy and a macro-F1 score of 0.807, and the authors report it remained effective in real-world mobile assessment.
Lei, C.; Cui, Z.; Duan, Y. et al. (2026). Integrating speech biomarkers and large language models for adolescent suicide risk detection with mobile application for real-world evaluation. Cell Reports Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xcrm.2026.102823
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Evidence reviewPeer reviewed
Large language models in adolescent suicide prevention: from language signals to accountable action
This mini review examines research published from January 2023 to June 2026 on large language models for suicide prevention among adolescents, defined mainly as ages 10-19, and finds the strongest evidence for supervised risk-signal flagging. Evidence for summarisation and information extraction is preliminary, while autonomous crisis intervention lacks support; the authors found no prospective deployment trials measuring alert-to-action latency, escalation appropriateness or linked outcomes.
Li, M., Huang, W., Wu, J. et al. (2026). Large language models in adolescent suicide prevention: from language signals to accountable action. Frontiers in Public Health. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1872450
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